[Credit: Medical Xpress]
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Locations Australia | Brazil | Colombia | India | Peru | Russia | Spain | USA | Vietnam | World |
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Research Projects Drug repurposing Mobility estimation on Twitter |
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The world
is in
a pandemic, and some regions are in the state of crisis or emergency
with enforced lockdown and curfew. This page was created to respond to
the situtation.
The
research program has two broad
aims:
» To help elimiate the pandemic altogether through modeling and AI.
Policy reports
- Analysis and forecasting of COVID-19 in Ho Chi Minh city. Truyen Tran, Quoc Tran, & Tech4Covid Group. Report to HCM City Council & COVID Response Task Force, 13/08/2021.
With strict lockdown and social measures, Australia is clearing the second wave, but still experiencing mini outbreaks.
Australia is on the good track of battling the second wave.
Victoria is now clear.
Geelong is a regional area and it is officially clear.
The
data
for
Brazil looks unusual with very high daily variation, but the averaging curve behaves as if there is only a single wave.
COVID-19
in Colombia is experiencing a second wave.
India
may have
experienced multiple overlapping waves but we cannot easily see
it from the data. The current downtrend looks good, but experience
tells us we should be prepared for another major wave.
India will be in top 3.
Peru is experiencing the second wave, but the daily cases are declining rapidly.
Peru is being hit hard.
Russia has
been hit hard. The current wave seems major and worst than the previous as winter is approaching.
Russia is experiencing the second major uptrend.
There are
unusual reporting patterns for Spain. The second wave hit harder than
the first, and Spain is at the peak now.
Spain is enduring the second large wave.
The
USA has
been
a dramatic case with multiple waves. There has been a recent huge uptrend, unfortunately.
USA is experiencing a new big wave.
Vietnam
did extremely well on the first wave with zero dealth, and is currently
experiencing the second wave with 2-3% of dealth rate. This wave has been contained.
Despite a small number of reported cases, the trend has been quite predictable.
The world
as the
sum of all its parts, is complex to model because of multiple waves
coming from various regions at different times, some are tiny and hard
to detect given only the curve. The hope is clearly on the
worldwide vaccination, which might be possible by the first quarter of
2021.
Research Projects:
This project aims to build accurate forecasting models for each region in the world.
The
current methodology is a mixed bag of differential
equations, data-driven additive curve fitting, and some recurrent neural (hyper)networks.
This project aims to find existing drugs that may be effective in treating patients with COVID-19.
The current methodology is based on predicting binding between drugs and proteins known to be active.
Mobility estimation using Twitter
This
project
aims to estimate the community's mobility and its effect on the infection rate of each region
The current methodology is based on measuring Twitter activity in each region.
Publications
- MP-PINN: A Multi-Phase Physics-Informed Neural Network for epidemic forecasting, Thang Nguyen, Dung Nguyen, Kha Pham and Truyen Tran, in Proceedings of the 22nd Australasian Data Science and Machine Learning Conference (AusDM'24), Melbourne, Australia | 25-27 November 2024.